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Bitcoin LTH Supply Climbs Back To August 2025 Levels As 316K BTC Move Into Strong Hands
Bitcoin’s latest on-chain picture is beginning to look less like panic and more like patience. Data from CryptoQuant, highlighted by crypto analyst Darkfost, shows that long-term holder supply has climbed back to 15.26 million BTC, returning to a level last seen in August 2025. The move comes at a sensitive point for Bitcoin, with the price still trying to build strength around $80,000 while traders are currently split between another breakdown and a recovery. Related Reading: XRP Records Biggest Spike In Network Usage In 2 Months Long-Term Holders Add 316,000 BTC In 30 Days On-chain data tracked by CryptoQuant shows that Bitcoin’s long-term holder (LTH) supply has recovered to 15.26 million BTC, levels last seen in August 2025. However, the most important detail in the CryptoQuant chart is not only that long-term holder supply is rising but also the speed of the increase in the past month. LTH supply has grown by roughly 316,000 BTC over the past 30 days. That means more coins are aging into long-term holder status, which is a category used to identify investors who have held their Bitcoin for at least about six months and are less likely to react to short-term volatility. As shown in the chart image below, the green bars representing the 30-day change in LTH supply have increased into positive territory in recent weeks, which is a distinct reversal from the red distribution phase that dominated late 2025. At the end of November, the same 30-day metric showed a negative change of about 650,000 BTC, meaning a large amount of supply had moved out of long-term holder wallets during that period. That earlier phase coincided with a more vulnerable market structure as Bitcoin rolled over from its October 2025 all-time high and began a deeper correction. Bitcoin LTH Supply Change Darkfost also relayed this change to the earlier movement of 800,000 BTC from Coinbase. His point is that May 23 could become an important date for on-chain discussions, as those coins will officially cross the six-month threshold. Once that happens, then investors could see more commentary around how much of that supply is being reclassified into the hands of long-term holders. Bitcoin Showing Strength The long-term holder data also fits into a separate outlook from analyst Michaël van de Poppe, who noted that the market may be too focused on new lows. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s 25% rebound from its recent lows, despite Middle East war concerns and a rise in yields, is a sign of resilience. In his argument, losing the 21-day moving average does not automatically mean Bitcoin must collapse into new lows, especially since the price is still holding above $76,000. Van de Poppe also compared Bitcoin against gold, saying the BTC/gold RSI has fallen to one of its lowest readings ever. However, previous low readings in the BTC/gold RSI did not happen during the start of a bear market but came during the beginning of stronger Bitcoin phases. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoMichNL On X A crash to new lows would require Bitcoin to invalidate the 200-week moving average, something that would break most cycle behavior outside extreme shocks such as the Luna and FTX collapses in 2022. Related Reading: Warren Zeroes In On Crypto Deal Structure As $75M Loan Draws Attention This does not mean that Bitcoin cannot test lower support. A move to $70,000 could still happen as a support test, but the difference is that he does not see new lows as the most likely outcome. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

2026-05-17 17:00
Bitcoin’s Fall To $78K Could Be A Bear Trap — Here’s Why
After springing back to life on the back of positive CLARITY Act development, the price of Bitcoin has been relatively quiet over the past few days. The premier cryptocurrency, which had been dancing around $82,000, is now barely above $78,000. According to a crypto trader on the social media platform X, the latest decline in Bitcoin’s price might not be what it seems and could be a fakeout. Divergence Between BTC Price, Open Interest Suggests Imminent Reversal Pseudonymous crypto pundit Cryptic Trades took to the X platform to share an interesting take on Bitcoin’s recent price decline. The market analyst posited that a combination of on-chain signals points to the formation of a trap for BTC short-position traders. Firstly, Cryptic Trades highlighted a divergence between Bitcoin’s price and the Open Interest metric, which measures the total number of outstanding derivative contracts for a cryptocurrency. While BTC’s price fell towards $78,000, the Open Interest metric has been on an upward trend. Related Reading: Is Zcash The Next Bitcoin? Investors Rush Into The Privacy Coin Narrative Typically, when price and Open Interest move in opposite directions, it means that a trend reversal (a return of bullish momentum, in this case) might be imminent. The trader also noted that the Funding Rates have been negative, which correlates with the ongoing divergence between Bitcoin’s price and Open Interest. The Funding Rates, which measure the periodic fee paid by short traders to long traders, or vice versa, are usually negative when bears are in control of the market (and are the ones making the payment). Cryptic Trades noted that negative Funding Rates suggest the bears are “doubling down” on their positions and continuously betting against the flagship cryptocurrency. “It also shows that even though the market structure remains intact, bears are shorting as if a breakdown already happened,” the crypto trader explained. According to Cryptic Trades, the confluence of these signals is how bear traps are formed, and that could be the current situation for Bitcoin. A bear trap is a deceptive price pattern that typically involves a drop in an asset’s value (often beneath a support level), tricking market participants into believing that a new downtrend has begun. It’s also important to note that extremely negative Funding Rates have often preceded a phenomenon known as a “short squeeze,” in which an asset’s price is driven higher by the forced closure of short positions. Hence, investors might want to exercise caution when entering any position at this juncture. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC is around $78,130, reflecting an over 1% decline in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Why Bitcoin Price Could Be Forming A Consolidation Structure Around $80,000 Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView

2026-05-17 15:00
XRP Will Go ‘Higher, Much Higher,’ Analyst Says, Betting On Explosive Breakout
Tokenized US Treasury bonds sitting on the XRP Ledger have grown from $50 million to $418 million in roughly a year — an eightfold jump that is drawing fresh attention to Ripple’s blockchain network and renewing speculation about where XRP’s price could go next. Related Reading: Warren Zeroes In On Crypto Deal Structure As $75M Loan Draws Attention Institutions Behind The Surge Platforms including OpenEden, Ondo Finance, and Zeconomy are behind the Treasury tokenization push on XRPL. Their activity signals that established financial players are testing the network as a way to move traditional assets onto a blockchain rail. According to data tracking platform RWA.xyz, the XRP Ledger climbed more than 60% over the past 30 days in its RWA rankings, putting it within striking distance of BNB Chain. Total tokenized real-world asset value on XRPL has crossed $3.6 billion in just five months, based on data cited by community commentator X Finance Bull in a post on X. Why are people still hating on ripple:native when XRPL is up 63% in the last 30 days on the RWA League Table?👇 In just 5 months, the XRP Ledger absorbed over $3.5B in RWA value. IN JUST 5 MONTHS! Imagine what the next few months could look like. XRPL is getting closer to… https://t.co/HOXX33FRP9 pic.twitter.com/YFedTY1a6V — X Finance Bull (@Xfinancebull) May 15, 2026 Real-world assets, for those unfamiliar, are traditional financial products — bonds, funds, real estate, commodities — represented as tokens on a blockchain. Supporters of the technology say moving these assets on-chain makes them easier to trade, settle, and distribute. Ripple and the XRPL Foundation have been actively courting institutions to bring that kind of activity to their network. X Finance Bull, who describes himself as an XRP community educator, pointed to the growth figures as evidence that the broader market is still underpricing the token. He argued that trillions of dollars in assets could eventually be tokenized on XRPL — a scenario that, in his view, would push XRP’s price well above current levels toward $10. “XRP will melt faces,” he wrote. The altcoin, he added, will go “much higher.” A Market Still Far Ahead The overall tokenized asset market is already valued at over $350 billion globally. XRPL’s $3.6 billion share puts it at roughly one percent of that total, leaving significant room — at least on paper — for further growth if adoption continues. Related Reading: Is Zcash The Next Bitcoin? Investors Rush Into The Privacy Coin Narrative Rising issuance and transfer activity on the network suggest institutions are not just exploring the idea but are actively using it, according to data firm Evernorth. To make the case that skeptics will eventually be proven wrong, X Finance Bull drew a comparison to Bitcoin’s early days. Critics once insisted BTC would never clear $100. It went on to reach a record close to $126,000 in October 2025. The analyst used that history to frame current doubts about XRP as a repeat of the same kind of early dismissal. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

2026-05-17 13:00
Ethereum Triangle Breakdown Adds Pressure On Its Recovery Outlook
Ethereum pressure mounts as the ETHBTC pair breaks down from a key descending triangle structure. The weakening performance against Bitcoin suggests that bearish momentum may still be dominating the market, leaving Ethereum vulnerable to deeper pullbacks unless bulls quickly reclaim critical resistance levels. ETHBTC Trendline Rejection Keeps Pressure On Ethereum Crypto analyst Ardi recently pointed out that Ethereum continues to face weakness against Bitcoin as ETHBTC keeps rejecting a major descending trendline. Repeated rejections from this structure increase the likelihood of Ethereum printing fresh cycle lows against the US dollar if broader market conditions weaken further. Related Reading: Ethereum Network Registers Strongest Profit Realization In Weeks — What This Means Meanwhile, ETHBTC is starting to break down from its descending triangle support, signaling growing bearish pressure on the pair. The analyst also noted that Ethereum is currently trading lower than it was when BTC was hovering around the $60,000 region, highlighting the extent of ETH’s relative underperformance in recent months. Based on the current structure, Ardi believes that if the crypto market experiences another broad decline, Ethereum could fall to new lows before Bitcoin even revisits the $60,000 level. Ethereum is currently holding above the cycle low it established against Bitcoin in April last year, which represents the macro higher low on the chart. As long as that support continues to hold, Ardi believes ETH still has the potential to establish a broader higher-low structure and prepare for a possible reset as the next market cycle approaches. Ethereum Pullback Remains Corrective Despite Short-Term Pressure According to More Crypto Online, Ethereum short-term bearish pressure is still active, while the recent decline still appears to be corrective rather than the start of a stronger impulsive selloff. While the broader market structure remains fragile, the analysts noted that there is still no confirmed evidence suggesting a major long-term top has fully formed. Related Reading: Ethereum Is Not Dead: Why Market Experts Are Still Predicting A Rise Above $10,000 The expert explained that Ethereum could still attempt another upward move as long as price action remains above the lower boundary of its current channel and continues holding within the active support zone. Immediate support levels are located around $2,187 and $2,122. A successful bullish breakout above the $2,318 resistance area could open the path toward the $2,646 region. However, More Crypto Online warned that the outlook may become significantly bearish if Ethereum breaks decisively below the lower channel support. Such a move would increase the probability that a larger market top is already in place and could shift attention back toward the February lows. For now, the structure still points to a corrective pullback rather than a confirmed trend reversal. Key support levels remain at $2,187, $2,122, and $2,037, while resistance stands at $2,318 and $2,646. Until sellers produce a stronger breakdown, Ethereum’s larger recovery structure technically remains alive despite the ongoing weakness. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

2026-05-17 06:00
What Solana’s 108% Growth Means For Its Price Outlook
The latest shareholder letter from DeFi Development Corp., a Nasdaq-listed Solana treasury company, shows that its fully converted SOL per share has grown 108% over the past year, rising from 0.0322 on May 13, 2025, to 0.0670 on May 13, 2026. The growth is notable because it came during a difficult period for Solana’s price action, particularly in the first quarter of 2026, where the SOL price has been struggling with bearish momentum. Related Reading: XRP Records Biggest Spike In Network Usage In 2 Months Solana Treasury Growth Shows A New Source Of Demand According to a May shareholder letter from DeFi Development Corp., a Solana treasury company, the company has more than doubled its fully converted SOL per share into 108%. The 108% growth highlighted by DeFi Development Corp. is based on SOL per share, a metric the company uses to measure how much Solana backs each fully converted share. The company reported 2,294,576 SOL and SOL equivalents as of May 13, 2026, with approximately 34.2 million fully converted shares outstanding. Interestingly, its fully converted SPS rose 1% from March 30 to May 13 and 108% from the same date last year to 0.0670 as of May 13, 2026. DeFi Development Corp. is not simply buying SOL and waiting for price appreciation. The company said more than 25% of its treasury is deployed onchain, while its validator operations generate about 7.5% yield compared to roughly 3.9% from staking SOL through Coinbase. The shareholder letter also estimated that this spread represents about $7.6 million in annualized incremental yield on its current treasury. What This 108% Growth Means For Solana Price This 108% growth in DeFi Development Corp.’s fully converted SOL per share shows that Solana is beginning to attract the same kind of corporate treasury conviction similar to Bitcoin and Ethereum. Bitcoin has had companies such as Strategy, Metaplanet, and MARA Holdings building balance sheet strategies around BTC. Ethereum has also developed its own treasury category, with companies like BitMine Immersion Technologies. DeFi Development Corp.’s strategy is built around accumulating SOL, staking it, deploying part of it across Solana DeFi, and using capital markets only when it can increase SOL exposure per share. This means SOL is attracting a category of demand that is more structured than normal spot-market buying. Interestingly, DeFi Development Corp. is one of a few other companies that hold SOL as their primary corporate reserve asset. Other companies like Forward Industries, Inc. and Upexi Inc. also have millions of SOL tokens on their balance sheets. Related Reading: Is Zcash The Next Bitcoin? Investors Rush Into The Privacy Coin Narrative This has real price implications for Solana, as this creates a different kind of demand base. Treasury companies like those mentioned above are long-term holders. Retail demand can disappear quickly, but corporate treasury demand is more structured and usually tied to long-term conviction. Featured image from Bunq, chart from TradingView

2026-05-17 05:00
Bitcoin Struggles Below Resistance While Fibonacci Support Comes Into Focus
Bitcoin continues to face strong resistance as bulls struggle to reclaim higher price levels and restore upward momentum. With the market failing to break key resistance zones, attention is now shifting toward major Fibonacci support areas, where buyers could attempt to stabilize the current decline and prevent a deeper correction. Recovery Hopes Fade Unless Resistance Levels Break After failing to break above the $82,885 resistance peak, Bitcoin is experiencing selling pressure. According to crypto analyst Kamile Uray, the 4-hour chart still points to ongoing downside risk, with price action likely to remain weak as long as Bitcoin trades below the critical $78,203 level. Related Reading: Why Bitcoin Still Needs Massive Capital Inflows To Ignite True Bull Run Uray explained that if BTC remains under $78,203, the decline could continue toward the $74,929 region, where buyers may attempt to step in and slow the downward momentum. However, failure to generate a meaningful recovery from that zone could trigger a much deeper correction across the broader market. The analyst also highlighted the $71,000–$68,000 range as a major Fibonacci support area where stronger buying interest could emerge. On the upside, key resistance levels to monitor remain around $98,000 and the $107,000–$109,000 region, which could act as a major barrier if Bitcoin attempts another recovery rally. Meanwhile, on the downside, the analyst pointed to the $60,000 level as a critical support zone, noting that a daily close below it would significantly strengthen bearish control and turn any future rallies into corrective bounces rather than signs of a sustained recovery. Bitcoin Stays Range-Bound As Market Awaits Breakout Signal Crypto analyst Ultimae noted that Bitcoin has remained stuck in a range-bound structure for the past 10 days, with price action showing little momentum in either direction. According to the analyst, the market is currently stabilizing around the $78,700 level, which had previously been identified as a key support zone. Related Reading: Why The $65,000 Region Is Important As Bitcoin Gears Up To Face Massive Resistance At These Levels Currently, holding above this support remains important for maintaining short-term stability. However, if Bitcoin breaks decisively below it, the next downside target could be around $77,000 as bearish pressure intensifies. On the upside, the analyst pointed out that the $80,000 area is no longer acting as a major resistance barrier, while the more significant resistance level remains near $83,000. A successful breakout above that region could strengthen bullish momentum and potentially open the door for a move toward the $87,000 target zone. For now, Ultimae believes Bitcoin is likely to remain trapped within its current range unless the market produces a clear directional breakout. As long as neither support nor resistance is decisively broken, the broader outlook continues to favor sideways consolidation rather than the start of a strong trending move. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

2026-05-17 03:30
If You’re Holding XRP, This Pundit Says You Should See This
A crypto analyst is criticizing XRP investors for only holding the cryptocurrency without making proper use of it. The analyst said that the market is now more focused on price action and chart trends than on utility, and on how the XRP Ledger (XRPL) as a blockchain can benefit them. He urges investors not to just sit idly waiting for a price surge but to actively engage in XRP’s use cases to make money. Related Reading: XRP Records Biggest Spike In Network Usage In 2 Months Market Analyst Questions XRP Investors’ Lack Of Action MrCauliman, a firm XRP advocate, has come out strongly against what he sees as a widespread problem within the XRP community. In an X post on May 14, he expressed deep frustration over the behavior of most XRP holders, noting that a large portion of the community is consumed by price predictions, influencer opinions, and emotional reactions to market movements. He said that investors keep asking how to use their XRP and how to make money with it, yet spend no real time studying the network or the builders working on it. MrCauliman believes that this mindset is holding many people back from earning a steady income from the XRP ecosystem. He urged the community to wake up and stop being emotionally impatient and complaining about slow price growth. Having built on rival networks such as Solana, MrCauliman now focuses heavily on the XRP Ledger because he believes it is unique. He noted that too many investors are buried in noise and fantasy math that comes with price forecasts and hopes of a life-changing rally. The developer also explained that anxiety around XRP comes from holding the asset without understanding it, and confidence comes from actively using it. He advised people to tune out the noise and study the builders creating real tools on the blockchain ledger. He believes that once investors start using the XRP Ledger for daily transactions, they will stop treating the asset like a lottery ticket and start viewing it as working capital. How XRP Can Benefit Holders Beyond Price Action To show what true utility and engagement look like, MrCauliman pointed to his own ecosystem and active projects running on the XRPL as proof that XRP can be put to work rather than simply held. But beyond his own work, he laid out several ways everyday investors can do the same. He urged holders to learn how the XRP Ledger actually works from the inside. This means getting familiar with its self-custody tools, using wallets like Xaman, trading on the blockchain’s built-in decentralized exchange, setting up trust lines, and exploring NFTs and automated market makers (AMM) on the ledger. He also suggested looking into tools like the Uphold card, which allows users to spend and earn XRP through everyday activities. Related Reading: Is Zcash The Next Bitcoin? Investors Rush Into The Privacy Coin Narrative MrCauliman’s core message is that XRP is already a legitimate, working financial tool for those willing to use it. He said that investors can spend it where it makes sense, and even earn it through available platforms. Instead of waiting idly for the price to jump, he urges holders to move with intention within the ecosystem while keeping control of their bags. He acknowledged that there are many opportunities for XRP holders, but many are just too focused on the price chart to notice. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

2026-05-17 02:00
Why Bitcoin Price Could Be Forming A Consolidation Structure Around $80,000
The Bitcoin price has surged towards the $80,000 mark over the past few weeks, signaling an ongoing resurgence from the bear-market lows observed in the first quarter of 2026. However, the premier cryptocurrency appears to have run out of the bullish impetus to sustain its current recovery, as it hovers around a psychological price level. Interestingly, the latest on-chain data shows that the Bitcoin price could be forming a consolidation range around the $80,000 region. Weak Coinbase Demand, Zero Binance Sell Pressure Forms ‘Equilibrium Of Apathy’: Analyst In a May 15 post on the social media platform X, market analyst CryptoOnchain revealed that a “Low-Velocity Consolidation” setup seems to be forming in the current Bitcoin price structure. This evaluation is based on a confluence of three on-chain signals over the past couple of weeks. Related Reading: Ethereum Network Registers Strongest Profit Realization In Weeks — What This Means Firstly, CryptoOnchain shared that the Network Value to Transaction metric has been in an uptrend in recent weeks. This indicator measures the ratio of a cryptocurrency’s (Bitcoin, in this case) market capitalization to transaction volume, offering insight into whether an asset is over- or undervalued. When this metric is high (as it currently is), it means that the Bitcoin price growth is no longer being supported by actual network activity (or increasing transaction value). Hence, a further expansion in BTC’s price, especially in the short term, might not be feasible. CryptoOnchain noted that, at the same time, there has been a significant Bitcoin supply drought on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. The analyst stated that the Binance Inflow CDD metric has dropped 99.5% since April, with Bitcoin long-term holders showing a reluctance to sell their assets. The third metric highlighted by CryptoOnchain is the Coinbase Premium, which measures the demand from institutional investors in the United States. According to data from CryptoQuant, there appears to be some apathy among US investors, as the Coinbase Premium has remained largely negative in recent weeks. CryptoOnchain explained that this combination of weak demand and zero sell pressure from two of the largest exchanges creates an “Equilibrium of Apathy.” These illiquid conditions, compounded by low Binance leverage, are often precursors to a volatility squeeze, the on-chain pundit concluded. Could This Volatility Squeeze Trigger The Next Bitcoin Price Move? For context, a volatility squeeze is a technical analysis pattern (shown by contracting Bollinger Bands) that signals a period of consolidation. What’s interesting is that this technical pattern has historically preceded significant price breakouts. Hence, from an optimistic perspective, the current period of inactivity in the Bitcoin price could simply be the “calm before the storm.” As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just above the $79,000 mark, reflecting an almost 3% decline in the past day. Related Reading: Bitcoin Fails $82,000 Breakout Three Times As Short-Term Holders Sell Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

2026-05-17 00:00
Analyst Says Don’t Buy Bitcoin Until This Happens
Crypto analyst Gargoyle has advised market participants not to buy Bitcoin until it sees high volume, which could mark the bottom. This comes amid BTC’s recent drop below the psychological $80,000 level, with the leading crypto at risk of another decline. Analyst Advises Against Buying Bitcoin Until Bottom Is Confirmed In an X post, Gargoyle advised against buying Bitcoin until the bottom is confirmed. He indicated that the BTC bottom forms when there is massive volume and that this massive volume hasn’t happened yet. The analyst alluded to the 2022/2023 cycle, when the capitulation spike marked the bottom for BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Basis Remains High Within Biggest Supply Cluster However, at the moment, this capitulation spike hasn’t occurred with Bitcoin’s volume still moderate, suggesting that market participants aren’t truly panicking yet despite the downtrend. Gargoyle further noted that the hardest flush always comes after retail thinks it is over for BTC, which then leads to a spike in volume as investors capitulate. The analyst’s accompanying chart showed that Bitcoin could still drop to around $45,000 before it bottoms, while this could happen between now and the start of next year. Once that happens, BTC could then see a reversal as it targets a new all-time high (ATH). Notably, BTC had rallied over the past week to as high as $83,000, providing optimism that the bear market may be over. However, Bitcoin has since dropped below $80,000, raising concerns that the bear market may still be in force, as some analysts, such as Doctor Profit, had warned. The analyst had also mentioned before that BTC will likely bottom between September and October later this year based on its historical cycle patterns. BTC Bound To Decline If Stock Market Crashes Crypto analyst Colin warned that the current stock market pump is the only thing keeping Bitcoin afloat. He further noted that, in the short term, the S&P 500 appears bullish following the recent megaphone breakout. However, in the longer term, the economic backdrop doesn’t look good for these stocks and, by extension, for BTC. Related Reading: Analyst Says Avoid Bitcoin At All Costs; Here’s What To Do Instead As 50% Crash Looms Colin alluded to the CPI and PPI, which are both running hot, with inflation rising due to the U.S.-Iran war. The analyst stated that this is not a favorable environment for a Bitcoin “super cycle,” as some bulls are claiming. It is worth noting that the market is also beginning to price in a rate hike this year, which is bearish for the leading crypto. As such, with the macro environment not looking good, Colin suggested that BTC will crash if the stock market sees any significant drop in the future. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $79,000, down over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

2026-05-16 22:00

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